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- <text id=92TT2034>
- <title>
- Sep. 14, 1992: A Spate of Bad Numbers
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
- Sep. 14, 1992 The Hillary Factor
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- THE WEEK, Page 16
- BUSINESS
- A Spate of Bad Numbers
- </hdr><body>
- <p>Most of the economic indicators bode ill for Bush in November
- </p>
- <p> At least George Bush does not have to contend with the twin
- curses of double-digit interest rates and inflation that
- poisoned Jimmy Carter's 1980 re-election bid. Unfortunately for
- the President, the economic parallels with the last Democrat to
- occupy the White House begin to multiply after that. As Carter
- entered the final two months of his campaign, he faced a 7.5%
- unemployment rate. Bush is looking at 7.6%. In the fall of 1980,
- the nation's economy was dead in the water. Based on the latest
- round of indicators, so will it be for Bush, who finds himself
- saddled with numbers virtually impossible to correct before
- November.
- </p>
- <p> Factory orders fell in July. So did sales of new homes,
- which went down for the fourth time this year, despite the
- lowest mortgage-interest rates in 19 years. Consumer confidence
- has retreated 20% since June, back to the depressed levels of
- March. Now the Census Bureau has reported that more Americans
- were living in poverty in 1991 than in any other year since
- 1964.
- </p>
- <p> As bad as this news is for Bush, even more troubling is
- that so few correctives are available to him between now and
- Nov. 3. Hamstrung by an enormous deficit and a weak dollar, the
- President's one policy weapon, say economists, is his ability
- to convince the public that he has a credible economic plan for
- the next four years--something recent polls suggest he has not
- yet done.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
-
-